Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Altyn Asyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
8%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 26% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
36%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
76%
-15.0pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.3pp
20%
Away Win
7%
+12.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Altyn Asyr EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
472 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 170 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Altyn Asyr
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.95 xG 1.54
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 8
287 Passes 194
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.10.2018 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-0 HT 1-0 Altyn Asyr Altyn Asyr AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2-1
AWAY Altyn Asyr
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Altyn Asyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya nicked a narrow win over Altyn Asyr 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Quwa Al Jawiya as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Quwa Al Jawiya had 67% of the ball to Altyn Asyr's 33%, shots finished 20-5.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Altyn Asyr?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Altyn Asyr in the AFCŞL2 on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Altyn Asyr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 61%, draw 19%, Altyn Asyr 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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