Fortaleza vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
CON CSA
1-1
HT 1-1
Fortaleza
CON CSA
2-1
HT 1-1
Corinthians
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
Fortaleza 0-2 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians got the better of Fortaleza 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Fortaleza had 48% of the ball to Corinthians's 52%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.60 to 1.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortaleza and 0.50 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Corinthians?
Fortaleza 0-2 Corinthians in the Copa Sudamericana on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 47%, draw 29%, Corinthians 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortaleza) went the other way.