Sekhukhune United 1-0 Magesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
6.08
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-15.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+12.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sekhukhune United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Magesi EU Bookmakers 19%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sekhukhune United
1-0
AWAY Magesi
3.47 xG 0.37
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
297 Passes 260
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sekhukhune United vs Magesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sekhukhune United squeezed past Magesi 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sekhukhune United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sekhukhune United had 43% of the ball to Magesi's 57%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 3.47 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sekhukhune United's control.

What was the final score of Sekhukhune United vs Magesi?

Sekhukhune United 1-0 Magesi in the South Afrika - Premier League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sekhukhune United vs Magesi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sekhukhune United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sekhukhune United 41%, draw 30%, Magesi 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sekhukhune United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sekhukhune United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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