Orlando Pirates 2-1 Chippa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 31% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.0pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippa United EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.73/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.55
-7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.3 Crosses 13.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chippa United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.70 xG 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
391 Passes 208
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-0 HT 2-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
04.05.2024 Chippa United Chippa United 1-3 HT 0-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
15.08.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
08.04.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 0-2 HT 0-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
14.08.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
27.04.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
2-1
AWAY Chippa United
2.22 xG 0.35
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
398 Passes 182
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
39 Box Touches 3
21 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Chippa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates squeezed past Chippa United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 65% of the ball to Chippa United's 35%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 2.22 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Orlando Pirates's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.50 for Chippa United.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Chippa United?

Orlando Pirates 2-1 Chippa United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Chippa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 57%, draw 24%, Chippa United 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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