Stellenbosch FC 0-2 Golden Arrows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 36% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.6pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.44/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.62
+30% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
13.7 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stellenbosch FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Golden Arrows
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.31 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
319 Passes 370
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
16.09.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
29.04.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 5-2 HT 4-2 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
14.10.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-1 HT 0-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
06.04.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-2 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
06.11.2021 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stellenbosch FC
0-2
AWAY Golden Arrows
0.64 xG 0.92
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
417 Passes 212
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Stellenbosch FC vs Golden Arrows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows saw off Stellenbosch FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stellenbosch FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 63% of the ball to Golden Arrows's 37%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.64 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stellenbosch FC and 0.50 for Golden Arrows.

What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs Golden Arrows?

Stellenbosch FC 0-2 Golden Arrows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs Golden Arrows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 52%, draw 30%, Golden Arrows 18%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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