Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -22%
1.56/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.36
+31% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Saburtalo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.04.2024 Saburtalo 3-3 HT 2-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
06.03.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
03.10.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 5-0 HT 3-0 Saburtalo GUR
08.08.2023 Saburtalo 1-3 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
25.04.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-3 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
26.02.2023 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
2-1
AWAY Saburtalo
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
7 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi squeezed past Saburtalo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Torpedo Kutaisi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 52% of the ball to Saburtalo's 48%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.67 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo?

Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 39%, draw 28%, Saburtalo 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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