CS Herediano 5-4 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.02/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.40
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
18.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
24.09.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.07.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-4 HT 0-3 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
5-4
AWAY Municipal Liberia
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano nicked a narrow win over Municipal Liberia 5-4. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 54% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 46%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for CS Herediano and 0.75 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia?

CS Herediano 5-4 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 57%, draw 26%, Municipal Liberia 18%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Over 2.5
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