CS Herediano 4-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.95/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.16
-2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% / -19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
453 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
24.09.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.07.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-4 HT 0-3 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
4-0
AWAY Municipal Liberia
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano cruised past Municipal Liberia 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 50% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 50%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CS Herediano and 1.00 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia?

CS Herediano 4-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 52%, draw 24%, Municipal Liberia 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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