Guanacasteca 1-0 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.0pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +5%
1.18/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.62
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CS Cartagines
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
17.01.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-2 HT 1-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
24.09.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-2 HT 1-2 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
28.07.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
19.03.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 4-1 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
22.01.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-2 HT 0-2 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
03.10.2022 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-1 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
1-0
AWAY CS Cartagines
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca squeezed past CS Cartagines 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Guanacasteca found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 43% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 57%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Cartagines led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guanacasteca and 1.83 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs CS Cartagines?

Guanacasteca 1-0 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 35%, draw 32%, CS Cartagines 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guanacasteca), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guanacasteca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
29 Feb 2024
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