Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Sol De America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.9pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sol De America EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.02/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.42
-26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sol De America
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2024 Sol De America Sol De America 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
19.03.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 2-0 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
02.11.2022 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 0-0 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
03.09.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.07.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
22.04.2022 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 3-1 HT 1-1 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1-0
AWAY Sol De America
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Sol De America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano squeezed past Sol De America 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Sportivo Ameliano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 63% of the ball to Sol De America's 37%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.00 for Sol De America.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Sol De America?

Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Sol De America in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Sol De America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 39%, draw 32%, Sol De America 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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