BFC Daugavpils U19 1-0 Cliftonville U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 18 Sep 2024

BFC Daugavpils U19
1-0 HT 1-0
Cliftonville U19
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

BFC Daugavpils U19 vs Cliftonville U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.38
Over Pick
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
23%
5.03
2-3
42%
1.96
4-5
25%
2.75
6+
10%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.85
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.2
X/1
20%
3.89
X/2
10%
11.9
X/X
11%
6.72
2/1
4%
20.0
2/2
9%
8.4
2/X
7%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.6pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BFC Daugavpils U19 v Cliftonville U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils U19 The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville U19 The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils U19 vs Cliftonville U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Daugavpils U19 nicked a narrow win over Cliftonville U19 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had BFC Daugavpils U19 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils U19 vs Cliftonville U19?

BFC Daugavpils U19 1-0 Cliftonville U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils U19 vs Cliftonville U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils U19 55%, draw 22%, Cliftonville U19 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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