Honka U19 1-0 Valletta U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
18%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.89
Over
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
22%
6.5
2-3
41%
2.13
4-5
24%
2.51
6+
13%
5.27
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.5 — our 22% vs market 11.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
34.5
X/1
15%
3.4
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
9%
12.5
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
7%
32.0
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Honka U19 win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
82%
-21.5pp
21%
Draw
12%
+9.5pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+12.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Honka U19 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta U19 EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Honka U19 vs Valletta U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Honka U19 edged past Valletta U19 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Honka U19 as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Honka U19 vs Valletta U19?

Honka U19 1-0 Valletta U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Honka U19 vs Valletta U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Honka U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Honka U19 61%, draw 21%, Valletta U19 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Honka U19), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Honka U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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