CS Herediano 3-3 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.51/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.21
+29% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
206 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
12.05.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
31.03.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
26.01.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
19.12.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 2-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
16.12.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
3-3
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano and Deportivo Saprissa couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Saprissa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Herediano had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 47%, shots finished 15-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CS Herediano and 1.33 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?

CS Herediano 3-3 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 28%, draw 28%, Deportivo Saprissa 44%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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