Guadalupe 2-2 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalupe EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 52%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.18/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -64%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalupe
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.08.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalupe
2-2
AWAY Municipal Liberia
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guadalupe vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalupe and Municipal Liberia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Guadalupe had 45% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 55%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Guadalupe vs Municipal Liberia?

Guadalupe 2-2 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalupe vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guadalupe 29%, draw 31%, Municipal Liberia 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ BTTS Yes
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