CS Herediano 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.41/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.29
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 2-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
16.12.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
29.09.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
12.08.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
01.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
25.01.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano got the better of Deportivo Saprissa 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day CS Herediano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Herediano had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 42%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CS Herediano and 1.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?

CS Herediano 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 40%, draw 30%, Deportivo Saprissa 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
26 Jan 2025
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