Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.75
Over 2.5
56%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
53%
-9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
47%
+9.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.2pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.71/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.07
+12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +39%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
01.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
25.01.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
18.12.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
15.12.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
14.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
1-0
AWAY CS Herediano
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa nicked a narrow win over CS Herediano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 63% of the ball to CS Herediano's 37%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.00 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs CS Herediano?

Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 45%, draw 25%, CS Herediano 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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29 Sep 2024
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