Santos de Guapiles 0-1 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.42/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.31
+15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.08.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTK
10.08.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 4-0 HT 2-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
07.04.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 3-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
29.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 5-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
18.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
13.08.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 3-3 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia squeezed past Santos de Guapiles 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 2.33 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Municipal Liberia?

Santos de Guapiles 0-1 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 31%, draw 26%, Municipal Liberia 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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