Municipal Liberia vs Santos de Guapiles Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal Liberia v Santos de Guapiles — Team-Based Signals
Municipal Liberia vs Santos de Guapiles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Santos de Guapiles
KOSTK
1-1
HT 0-1
Santos de Guapiles
KOSTA
Municipal Liberia 0-1 Santos de Guapiles — Actual Match Statistics
Santos de Guapiles squeezed past Municipal Liberia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Municipal Liberia at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Municipal Liberia had 70% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 30%, shots finished 19-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.00 for Santos de Guapiles.
What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Santos de Guapiles?
Municipal Liberia 0-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Santos de Guapiles?
Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 51%, draw 24%, Santos de Guapiles 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.