Caldiero Terme 1-1 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.52
Over 2.5
50%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.39
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.98/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.16
+63% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
1-1
AWAY Pro Patria
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldiero Terme and Pro Patria shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 40% of the ball to Pro Patria's 60%, shots finished 8-18.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs Pro Patria?

Caldiero Terme 1-1 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldiero Terme win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 40%, draw 24%, Pro Patria 36%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caldiero Terme) ✗ BTTS No
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