SPAL 0-1 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Oct 2024

SPAL
0-1 HT 0-0
Pescara
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SPAL EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 43%
-18% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +0%
0.96/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.32
-18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SPAL
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Pescara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.40 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
410 Passes 331
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Pescara Pescara 1-2 HT 1-1 SPAL SPAL İTC
08.10.2023 SPAL SPAL 1-2 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTC
06.03.2021 Pescara Pescara 0-1 HT 0-1 SPAL SPAL İTB
21.11.2020 SPAL SPAL 2-0 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SPAL
0-1
AWAY Pescara
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SPAL vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara squeezed past SPAL 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Pescara made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SPAL had 46% of the ball to Pescara's 54%, shots finished 9-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SPAL had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SPAL and 0.75 for Pescara.

What was the final score of SPAL vs Pescara?

SPAL 0-1 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SPAL vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SPAL 33%, draw 29%, Pescara 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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