Pescara 1-2 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Feb 2024

Pescara
1-2 HT 1-1
SPAL
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.83/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.63
+16% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
429 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
1W-0D-2L
AWAY SPAL
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.82 xG 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
331 Passes 410
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 SPAL SPAL 1-2 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTC
06.03.2021 Pescara Pescara 0-1 HT 0-1 SPAL SPAL İTB
21.11.2020 SPAL SPAL 2-0 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
1-2
AWAY SPAL
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pescara vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SPAL squeezed past Pescara 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pescara at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pescara had 59% of the ball to SPAL's 41%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SPAL led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pescara and 1.33 for SPAL.

What was the final score of Pescara vs SPAL?

Pescara 1-2 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pescara 50%, draw 27%, SPAL 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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