Sestri Levante 0-1 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.03
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 54%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.93/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
-13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
250 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestri Levante
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Arezzo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.12.2023 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 0-0 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestri Levante
0-1
AWAY Arezzo
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo squeezed past Sestri Levante 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arezzo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Sestri Levante had 46% of the ball to Arezzo's 54%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Arezzo?

Sestri Levante 0-1 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 30%, draw 26%, Arezzo 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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