Darmstadt 98 5-1 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 18 Oct 2024

Darmstadt 98
5-1 HT 2-1
Köln
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Darmstadt 98 vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.39
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
20.75
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
7%
8.14
X/2
17%
4.75
X/X
12%
5.9
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
24%
2.44
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.75 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Darmstadt 98 v Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 53%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.13/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.52
+26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
18.9 Crosses 19.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Darmstadt 98 vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Köln
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 2.05
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 390
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Köln Köln 0-2 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
01.12.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-1 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1
26.04.2019 Köln Köln 1-2 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
24.11.2018 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-3 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2
28.01.2017 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-6 HT 0-3 Köln Köln AL1
27.08.2016 Köln Köln 2-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1

Darmstadt 98 5-1 Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
5-1
AWAY Köln
2.34 xG 1.84
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
304 Passes 524
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 swept aside Köln 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Köln at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 39% of the ball to Köln's 61%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 2.34 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 2.17 for Köln.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Köln?

Darmstadt 98 5-1 Köln in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 26%, draw 25%, Köln 48%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
18 Oct 2024
19:30 Hertha Berlin vs Braunschweig Analysis →