Hertha Berlin 3-1 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.43
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.15
X/1
14%
4.58
X/2
6%
8.13
X/X
11%
5.74
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
21.15
2/2
17%
5.37
2/X
5%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.15 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.0pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.95/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.63
+49% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.9 Crosses 17.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Braunschweig
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.55 xG 2.03
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
462 Passes 281
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-1 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
17.09.2023 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-0 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
07.12.2022 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig HAZ
31.07.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 4-4 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
11.09.2020 Braunschweig Braunschweig 5-4 HT 3-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
20.08.2018 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
3-1
AWAY Braunschweig
2.15 xG 0.26
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
494 Passes 241
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 5
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin got the better of Braunschweig 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hertha Berlin as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 63% of the ball to Braunschweig's 37%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.15 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.83 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Braunschweig?

Hertha Berlin 3-1 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 44%, draw 27%, Braunschweig 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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