Ajman 2-1 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.47
6+ Goals
6%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
352 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Ajman Ajman 3-0 HT 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
26.11.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-2 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
10.03.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-2 HT 2-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
16.10.2022 Ajman Ajman 0-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
23.04.2022 Ajman Ajman 4-2 HT 1-2 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
29.10.2021 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman squeezed past Khorfakkan 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Ajman made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajman had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ajman and 1.17 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Khorfakkan?

Ajman 2-1 Khorfakkan in the UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khorfakkan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ajman 37%, draw 25%, Khorfakkan 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Khorfakkan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khorfakkan) ✓ BTTS Yes
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