Al Wasl Dubai 3-1 Al Wahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
35%
3.45
Away
21%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.03
Over 2.5
38%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 35% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.9pp
21%
Away Win
28%
-6.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
45%
+16.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
55%
-16.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.9pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Wahda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.42 xG 1.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
07.03.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAELK
09.02.2024 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAELK
08.12.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
28.01.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 3-3 HT 1-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
02.09.2022 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
3-1
AWAY Al Wahda
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Wahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wasl Dubai beat Al Wahda 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Wasl Dubai as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wasl Dubai had 37% of the ball to Al Wahda's 63%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Wasl Dubai and 2.67 for Al Wahda.

What was the final score of Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Wahda?

Al Wasl Dubai 3-1 Al Wahda in the UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Wahda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Wasl Dubai 44%, draw 35%, Al Wahda 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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