Flamengo 0-2 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.74
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.0
X/1
24%
3.61
X/2
11%
9.99
X/X
13%
3.77
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
7%
9.39
2/X
10%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
55%
-9.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.62/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
-3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.7 Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Fluminense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 1.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
307 Passes 406
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.06.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
12.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
16.07.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 0-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
02.06.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BRK
17.05.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 0-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
10.04.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 4-1 HT 2-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRC1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
0-2
AWAY Fluminense
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
436 Passes 274
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense got the better of Flamengo 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Flamengo had 60% of the ball to Fluminense's 40%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Flamengo and 0.83 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Fluminense?

Flamengo 0-2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 45%, draw 31%, Fluminense 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Flamengo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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