HB Koge 4-1 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

HB Koge
4-1 HT 3-1
Hobro IK
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

HB Koge vs Hobro IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.14
2-3 Goals
34%
1.96
4-5 Goals
30%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
7.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.35
1/2
5%
20.6
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
4%
9.56
X/2
20%
4.42
X/X
11%
5.9
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.17
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.25
Value flag · 2/X at 13.25 — our 12% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB Koge v Hobro IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.39/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/0.48
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
15.1 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

HB Koge vs Hobro IK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hobro IK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
430 Passes 399
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.08.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
27.10.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
20.08.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
26.05.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-2 HT 0-2 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
02.04.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 1-3 HT 0-2 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
04.11.2022 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1

HB Koge 4-1 Hobro IK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
4-1
AWAY Hobro IK
1.84 xG 1.93
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
224 Passes 644
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 23
3 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge swept aside Hobro IK 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hobro IK at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, HB Koge had 30% of the ball to Hobro IK's 70%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.84 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HB Koge and 1.50 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Hobro IK?

HB Koge 4-1 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 24%, draw 28%, Hobro IK 49%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hobro IK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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