Roskilde 1-5 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

Roskilde
1-5
Odense
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Roskilde vs Odense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
59%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.15
Over 2.5
44%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.16
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
52%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.04
6+ Goals
8%
9.52
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.86 — our 52% vs market 46.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
12.95
1/2
4%
22.7
1/X
7%
21.0
X/1
5%
16.15
X/2
17%
3.46
X/X
7%
6.84
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
37%
1.63
2/X
10%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.8pp
59%
Away Win
68%
-9.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roskilde v Odense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 72%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.00/3.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.33/0.33
-100% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.5
– Crosses 20.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Roskilde vs Odense Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Odense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.20 xG 2.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
339 Passes 392
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Odense Odense 3-2 HT 2-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
01.09.2021 Roskilde Roskilde 1-2 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAK
06.07.2019 Odense Odense 2-0 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde HAZ
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense cruised past Roskilde 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Odense as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Odense led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roskilde and 2.33 for Odense.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Odense?

Roskilde 1-5 Odense in the Denmark 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 17%, draw 24%, Odense 59%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Odense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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