Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒04:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.44
No
64%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
29%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.4pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
37%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS No
63%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 28%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.97/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.67
+106% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.86 xG 0.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 Passes 318
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.02.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
22.09.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
14.04.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
07.08.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
12.02.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Pasto 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; Atletico Bucaramanga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.50 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Cup on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 37%, draw 35%, Atletico Bucaramanga 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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