Guanacasteca 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 53%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +24%
1.27/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.03
+11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 5-0 HT 3-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca CONOAK
25.07.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
29.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-1 HT 3-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
25.02.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
02.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
31.07.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca got the better of Deportivo Saprissa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Saprissa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 46% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 54%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Guanacasteca and 2.83 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Guanacasteca 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 31%, draw 26%, Deportivo Saprissa 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ BTTS No
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