Korona Kielce 0-2 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 18 Oct 2024

Korona Kielce
0-2 HT 0-1
Piast Gliwice
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.51
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.24 — our 39% vs market 37.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.69
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
16%
5.86
X/2
12%
4.92
X/X
23%
3.5
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
11%
3.67
2/X
4%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Korona Kielce v Piast Gliwice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.28/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.36
+10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
21.2 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 383
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
03.11.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
12.05.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
29.10.2022 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
05.06.2020 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-2 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
26.10.2019 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL

Korona Kielce 0-2 Piast Gliwice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
0-2
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.40 xG 1.73
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
390 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice saw off Korona Kielce 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Piast Gliwice found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 56% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 44%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.40 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.17 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?

Korona Kielce 0-2 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 35%, draw 34%, Piast Gliwice 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Korona Kielce) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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