Rio Ave U23 2-0 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.9pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+55% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -51%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 2-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
09.01.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 0-3 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
04.11.2023 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
2-0
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 got the better of Sporting Braga U23 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 50% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 50%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 2.67 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Rio Ave U23 2-0 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 32%, draw 22%, Sporting Braga U23 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Over 2.5
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