Taian Tiankuang 1-0 Hainan Star — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.78
Over 2.5
37%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taian Tiankuang EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.82/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.59
+31% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
18.0 Crosses 19.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taian Tiankuang
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hainan Star
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.65 xG 2.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
178 Passes 158
64% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Taian Tiankuang Taian Tiankuang 3-1 HT 2-0 Hainan Star Hainan Star ÇİN2
24.08.2024 Hainan Star Hainan Star 2-2 HT 1-2 Taian Tiankuang Taian Tiankuang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taian Tiankuang
1-0
AWAY Hainan Star
0.68 xG 0.20
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
216 Passes 419
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 14
4 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Taian Tiankuang vs Hainan Star
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taian Tiankuang edged past Hainan Star 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Taian Tiankuang made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Taian Tiankuang had 37% of the ball to Hainan Star's 63%, shots finished 3-8, expected goals 0.68 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Taian Tiankuang had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Taian Tiankuang and 1.50 for Hainan Star.

What was the final score of Taian Tiankuang vs Hainan Star?

Taian Tiankuang 1-0 Hainan Star in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taian Tiankuang vs Hainan Star?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hainan Star win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Taian Tiankuang 32%, draw 31%, Hainan Star 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hainan Star) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hainan Star) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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