Karvina 1-1 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 18 Oct 2025

Karvina
1-1 HT 1-1
Sigma Olomouc
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2025/2026

Karvina vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karvina v Sigma Olomouc — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.92/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.25
+14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
24.0 Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Karvina vs Sigma Olomouc Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.59 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
243 Passes 212
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.04.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-2 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
02.11.2024 Karvina Karvina 2-1 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
25.11.2023 Karvina Karvina 0-2 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
29.07.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-1 HT 2-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
13.03.2022 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
17.10.2021 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK

Karvina 1-1 Sigma Olomouc — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-1
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.85 xG 1.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
313 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina and Sigma Olomouc couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Karvina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Karvina had 52% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 48%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.85 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sigma Olomouc led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karvina and 1.83 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Sigma Olomouc?

Karvina 1-1 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Karvina 41%, draw 29%, Sigma Olomouc 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Karvina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karvina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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