FK Pardubice 2-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.37/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.01
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.4 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.64 xG 1.84
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
335 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
22.02.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-3 HT 0-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
22.09.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
21.04.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-2 HT 0-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
11.11.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
12.02.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
2-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.85 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
323 Passes 238
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice nicked a narrow win over Mlada Boleslav 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 21% / 42%) promised a tight game; FK Pardubice found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 56% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 44%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.85 to 0.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FK Pardubice's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Pardubice and 1.50 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?

FK Pardubice 2-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 37%, draw 21%, Mlada Boleslav 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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