FK Pardubice 2-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.40/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.18
+4% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
11.4 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.35 xG 1.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
346 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-3 HT 0-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
22.09.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
21.04.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-2 HT 0-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
11.11.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
12.02.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
27.08.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-3 HT 0-3 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
2-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.22 xG 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
303 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice squeezed past Mlada Boleslav 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; FK Pardubice found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 49% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 51%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.22 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Pardubice and 1.83 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?

FK Pardubice 2-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Pardubice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 39%, draw 24%, Mlada Boleslav 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Pardubice), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Pardubice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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