FK Pardubice 0-3 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 22 Feb 2025

FK Pardubice
0-3 HT 0-2
Mlada Boleslav
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2024/2025

FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FK Pardubice v Mlada Boleslav — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.09/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/1.50
+5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.0 Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9

FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.62 xG 1.06
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
326 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
21.04.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-2 HT 0-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
11.11.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
12.02.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
27.08.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-3 HT 0-3 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
05.12.2021 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-3 HT 0-3 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK

FK Pardubice 0-3 Mlada Boleslav — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
0-3
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.08 xG 2.45
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
386 Passes 275
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav ran out comfortable winners over FK Pardubice 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mlada Boleslav as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 57% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 43%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 2.08 to 2.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Pardubice and 1.67 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?

FK Pardubice 0-3 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 30%, draw 27%, Mlada Boleslav 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ BTTS Yes
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