Sparta Prag 2-1 Ceske Budejovice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
12%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.0
2-3 Goals
38%
2.06
4-5 Goals
29%
2.41
6+ Goals
15%
5.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-15.9pp
22%
Draw
12%
+10.3pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 8%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.21/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.15
-1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -19%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
22.9 Crosses 14.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.23 xG 0.47
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
433 Passes 184
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
31 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
31.03.2024 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
22.10.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-0 HT 2-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
05.04.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEKK
12.11.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
07.08.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-1
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
2.83 xG 0.70
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
467 Passes 158
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
37 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Ceske Budejovice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag nicked a narrow win over Ceske Budejovice 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 68% of the ball to Ceske Budejovice's 32%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.83 to 0.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sparta Prag's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.00 for Ceske Budejovice.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Ceske Budejovice?

Sparta Prag 2-1 Ceske Budejovice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Ceske Budejovice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 66%, draw 22%, Ceske Budejovice 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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