Inverness CT 2-2 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
22%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
6.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.05 — our 27% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
78%
-12.4pp
23%
Draw
15%
+7.8pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 9%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.02/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.92
-15% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +143%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
467 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
26 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
02.08.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-3 HT 0-2 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
12.04.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-2 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
22.02.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
02.11.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
24.08.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
09.07.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKLK
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT and Kelty Hearts shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Inverness CT at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Inverness CT and 0.50 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Kelty Hearts?

Inverness CT 2-2 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 66%, draw 23%, Kelty Hearts 12%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Inverness CT), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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