Montrose 0-4 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.08/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.17
-21% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Hamilton
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
02.08.2025 Hamilton Hamilton 2-0 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
27.01.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
28.10.2023 Montrose Montrose 0-3 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
26.08.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
05.05.2001 Montrose Montrose 1-4 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK2
01.05.2001 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK2
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton swept aside Montrose 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Montrose and 2.17 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Hamilton?

Montrose 0-4 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montrose 28%, draw 30%, Hamilton 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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