Stockton Town 1-2 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.57/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.58
-9% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockton Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ashton United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Ashton United Ashton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Stockton Town İNGNLP
09.11.2024 Stockton Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockton Town
1-2
AWAY Ashton United
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United squeezed past Stockton Town 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Stockton Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stockton Town had 66% of the ball to Ashton United's 34%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stockton Town and 1.00 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Ashton United?

Stockton Town 1-2 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 52%, draw 27%, Ashton United 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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