Falkenbergs FF 3-0 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.51
6+ Goals
13%
5.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.73
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.05
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
12%
7.64
X/2
11%
5.19
X/X
9%
6.26
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
23%
2.62
2/X
7%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.05 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.6pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkenbergs FF EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.34/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.89
-1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkenbergs FF
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Örgryte
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 Örgryte Örgryte 4-2 HT 0-2 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
03.10.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-1 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
08.05.2021 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 3-2 HT 2-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
07.08.2018 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
03.06.2018 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
17.09.2017 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkenbergs FF
3-0
AWAY Örgryte
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Falkenbergs FF vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkenbergs FF swept aside Örgryte 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Örgryte at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Falkenbergs FF had 41% of the ball to Örgryte's 59%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Falkenbergs FF and 1.67 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Falkenbergs FF vs Örgryte?

Falkenbergs FF 3-0 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkenbergs FF vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Falkenbergs FF 35%, draw 22%, Örgryte 43%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Örgryte) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
18 Oct 2025
14:00 Vasteras SK FK vs GIF Sundsvall Analysis →
16:00 Östersunds FK vs IK Brage Analysis →
16:00 Kalmar vs IK Oddevold Analysis →
16:00 Varbergs vs Sandvikens IF Analysis →