Östersunds FK 1-0 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.01
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.1
X/1
15%
5.36
X/2
12%
6.95
X/X
12%
5.14
2/1
7%
23.55
2/2
13%
4.52
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.41/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.68
-10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY IK Brage
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2025 IK Brage IK Brage 0-2 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
09.11.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
12.05.2024 IK Brage IK Brage 2-1 HT 2-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
27.09.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
31.05.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 2-1 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
03.08.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 1-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK edged past IK Brage 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Östersunds FK as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Brage led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Östersunds FK and 1.00 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs IK Brage?

Östersunds FK 1-0 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 44%, draw 23%, IK Brage 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östersunds FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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