Rosengard 1-3 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosengard EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 37%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
0.38/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.73
-75% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosengard
1W-2D-0L
AWAY AFC Malmö
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2025 AFC Malmö 1-2 HT 0-0 Rosengard Rosengard İSÇ3
13.09.2024 Rosengard Rosengard 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
08.05.2024 AFC Malmö 2-2 HT 1-2 Rosengard Rosengard İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosengard
1-3
AWAY AFC Malmö
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rosengard vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö saw off Rosengard 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; AFC Malmö found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosengard had 49% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 51%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rosengard had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rosengard and 1.00 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of Rosengard vs AFC Malmö?

Rosengard 1-3 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosengard vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosengard win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rosengard 38%, draw 27%, AFC Malmö 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rosengard) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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