Amorebieta 2-1 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 45%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -25%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.07
-100% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
192 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
2W-2D-1L
AWAY UD Logrones
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.04.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-0 HT 1-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
27.11.2022 UD Logrones UD Logrones 1-1 HT 0-1 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
16.12.2020 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-0 HT 1-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İSPK
08.03.2020 UD Logrones UD Logrones 1-1 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
19.10.2019 Amorebieta Amorebieta 0-1 HT 0-1 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
2-1
AWAY UD Logrones
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta squeezed past UD Logrones 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was UD Logrones at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amorebieta had 36% of the ball to UD Logrones's 64%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Amorebieta had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Amorebieta and 0.60 for UD Logrones.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs UD Logrones?

Amorebieta 2-1 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 28%, draw 30%, UD Logrones 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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