UD Ourense 1-0 Langreo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ourense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Langreo EU Bookmakers 33%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
0.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.31
-59% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ourense
1-0
AWAY Langreo
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Ourense vs Langreo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ourense edged past Langreo 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had UD Ourense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, UD Ourense had 47% of the ball to Langreo's 53%, shots finished 6-6.

What was the final score of UD Ourense vs Langreo?

UD Ourense 1-0 Langreo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ourense vs Langreo?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ourense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UD Ourense 43%, draw 31%, Langreo 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Ourense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Ourense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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