Atletico Astorga 1-1 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Astorga EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 37%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.45
-100% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Astorga
1-1
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Astorga vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Astorga and Rayo Cantabria shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Atletico Astorga had 48% of the ball to Rayo Cantabria's 52%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Atletico Astorga vs Rayo Cantabria?

Atletico Astorga 1-1 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Astorga vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Astorga 35%, draw 28%, Rayo Cantabria 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayo Cantabria), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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