18/10/2025
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Ejea vs Basconia Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
28%
Draw
27%
29%
Away Win
27%
57%
Under 2.5
54%
43%
Over 2.5
46%
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
51%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ejea v Basconia — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ejea
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Basconia
EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
1.43/0.96
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/2.00
+10%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+102%
/
-39%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
3
272 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
267 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
Ejea 3-1 Basconia — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Ejea
3-1
AWAY
Basconia
42%
Ball Possession
58%
5
Total Shots
5
4
Shots on Target
2
2
Corners
2
5
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Ejea vs Basconia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ejea saw off Basconia 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ejea as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ejea had 42% of the ball to Basconia's 58%, shots finished 5-5.
What was the final score of Ejea vs Basconia?
Ejea 3-1 Basconia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ejea vs Basconia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ejea win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ejea 44%, draw 28%, Basconia 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ejea) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ejea)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İS4
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