La Serena 1-1 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +33%
1.09/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.83
-2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
17.2 Crosses 16.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Nublense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.67 xG 1.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 303
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Nublense Nublense 2-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
30.07.2022 La Serena La Serena 3-0 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
05.03.2022 Nublense Nublense 3-1 HT 2-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
06.10.2021 Nublense Nublense 0-1 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
08.05.2021 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
25.07.2015 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
1-1
AWAY Nublense
0.93 xG 1.35
27% Ball Possession 73%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
115 Passes 467
56% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 41
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena and Nublense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, La Serena had 27% of the ball to Nublense's 73%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.93 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Serena had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for La Serena and 0.83 for Nublense.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Nublense?

La Serena 1-1 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split La Serena 35%, draw 29%, Nublense 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nublense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nublense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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